Run projections
Select a country and assumptions, run a demographic and financial projection in seconds.
ScenarioPulse
Long-term pension forecasting, made accessible.
What ScenarioPulse does
Section titled “What ScenarioPulse does”Compare scenarios
Add multiple scenarios to a single chart — the “fan of forecasts” — and see how assumptions drive outcomes.
Save and share
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How it works
Section titled “How it works”The modeling engine runs three sequential steps:
- Demographic projection — projects the population by age and sex forward in time using mortality, fertility, and migration assumptions.
- Beneficiary projection — estimates the number of pension recipients per year from the projected population.
- Financial projection — computes payouts, present value, and expenditure as a share of GDP.
Assumptions are stored as dated reference sets. Scenarios mix and match them — change one variable, keep everything else fixed, and the effect shows up directly on the chart.