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ScenarioPulse

Getting Started

Open the tool

Section titled “Open the tool”

Go to app.scenariopulse.com. No sign-in required to run projections.

If the service has been idle, the first request may take 30–60 seconds to wake it up — a progress screen will appear automatically.

Run a scenario

Section titled “Run a scenario”
  1. Choose a scenario — currently ru_baseline (Russia, baseline assumptions).
  2. Set the base year — the starting year of the projection (default: 2020).
  3. Set the horizon year — how far to project (default: 2050).
  4. Adjust sex ratio at birth — ratio of male to female births (default: 1.05).
  5. Click Run.

The projection appears on the chart within seconds.

Read the chart

Section titled “Read the chart”

The chart shows two lines per scenario:

  • Solid line — pension recipients (beneficiaries) by year.
  • Dotted line — total population by year.

The Y-axis shows the number of persons.

Add a second scenario

Section titled “Add a second scenario”

Change one or more parameters and click Run again. The new scenario is added to the chart alongside the first — this is the “fan of forecasts”. You can add as many scenarios as you like.

Next steps

Section titled “Next steps”