ScenarioPulse Manifesto
Purpose
Section titled “Purpose”ScenarioPulse helps researchers and stakeholders bring quantitative estimates into the debate on the future of pension and social security systems. The project grows out of hands-on experience modeling reforms to inform dialogue between the expert community, policymakers, and decision-makers. Our core motivation is to move the conversation away from “better or worse” and toward measurable, comparable outcomes.
Demography first
Section titled “Demography first”At the heart of the model is demographic projection. Demography is inertial — it is what actually drives the dynamics of social and economic development, and no government can change it in the short term. We give you the tools to choose demographic scenarios: mortality, fertility, and migration parameters. You can add your own or combine existing ones.
Models
Section titled “Models”The system ships with pre-configured pension and long-term care (LTC) models. Using age-sex distribution settings, you can add custom models for specific calculations — and we plan to keep expanding the library.
Scenarios
Section titled “Scenarios”Every model supports configurable scenarios — assumptions about benefit levels and other parameters. Within scenario modeling, you can compare both beneficiary counts and financial flows.
Why we built it
Section titled “Why we built it”We built ScenarioPulse so that more people can use long-term projections in their work and research — and share the results of their own calculations.